| Labor | LNP | KAP | IND | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 Election | 44 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 89 |
| Adjusted to new boundaries | 48 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 93 |
- Labor loses a seat with the abolition of Mt Coot-tha. It gains the new seats of Bancroft north of Brisbane and Macalister and Jordan to the south. The boundary changes to the LNP seats of Burdekin, Mansfield and Mt Ommaney tip the seats on to the Labor side of the electoral pendulum, though all three will be defended by sitting LNP members. Labor held Pumicestone goes in the opposite direction in becoming a notional LNP seat.
- The LNP gain the new seats of Ninderry on the Sunshine Coast and Theodore and Bonney on the Gold Coast. It notionally loses Burdekin, Mansfield and Mt Ommaney on the new boundaries but notionally gains Pumicestone.
- The Katter's Australian Party seat of Dalrymple has been divided between several other electorates. The new seat of Hill, formed from parts of Dalrymple, Hinchinbrook and Mulgrave, has a more marginal KAP majority compared to Dalrymple.
- Billy Gordon (Cook) left the Labor Party and now sits as an Independent
- Rob Pyne (Cairns) is no longer in the Labor Party and sits as an Independent
- Steve Dickson (Buderim) leaving the LNP and joining One Nation.
- Independent MP for Nicklin Peter Wellington has announced he will not contest the next election.
- The southern seat of Beaudesert become less urban and is renamed Scenic Rim.
- There are major changes at the northern end of the Gold Coast. Albert is abolished and two new seats created from its parts, Theodore and MacAlister.
- A new seat called Bonney has been created between Broadwater and Southport. It is a marginal LNP seat, Bradwater and Southport becomeing much safer as a result.
- A new seat called Jordan takies in the rapidly growing Springfield area between Logan and Ipswich.
- In Brisbane the seats of Ashgrove, Mt Coot-tha and Indooroopilly are reformed as two seats called Cooper and Maiwar. Brisbane Central is re-named McConnel. Yeerongpilly becomes Miller and Sunnybank is re-named Toohey.
- East of Brisbane, Cleveland is re-named Oodgeroo.
- There is a new seat called Bancroft based on Deception Bay near Redcliffe. Kallangur has been re-named Kurwongbah..
- There is a new seat called Ninderry located in the Sunshine Coast between Maroochydore and Noosa.
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| Electorate | Old Margin % | New Margin % | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albert | LNP 1.7 | .. | Abolished. Areas around Beenleigh have been included in the new and notionally Labor seat of Macalister. Arreas in the south around Oxenford have been included in the notionally LNP new seat of Theodore. Areas in between have been included in the re-drawn seat of Coomera. |
| Algester | ALP 7.0 | ALP 9.6 | Shifts south and east, amongst other changes losing parts of Forest Lake and gaining Calamvale. |
| Ashgrove | ALP 4.3 | .. | See Cooper |
| Aspley | LNP 5.2 | LNP 3.2 | Weakened for the LNP by the inclusion of Geebung and parts of Zillmere. |
| Bancroft | .. | ALP 8.3 | New seat based on Deception Bay, North Lakes and Mango Hill. Formed from northern parts of Murrumba.. |
| Barron River | ALP 3.1 | ALP 3.6 | Loses southern suburbs to Cairns. |
| Beaudesert | LNP 7.5 | .. | See Scenic Rim. |
| Bonney | LNP 2.2 | New seat at the northern end of the Gold Coast formed from parts of Broadwater and Southport. | |
| Brisbane Central | ALP 3.3 | .. | See McConnel. |
| Broadwater | LNP 7.2 | LNP 16.3 | Moves north with the creation of Bonney to the south. Strengthened for the LNP by the inclusion of Hope Island. |
| Buderim | LNP 12.2 | LNP 11.8 | Gains Sippy Downs from Kawana while losing northern areas to the new seat of Ninderry. Note that sitting MP Steve Dickson has resigned from the LNP since the last election and joined One Nation. |
| Bulimba | ALP 6.1 | ALP 6.1 | Unchanged. |
| Bundaberg | ALP 1.6 | ALP 0.5 | Gaims some surrounding areas from Burnett. |
| Bundamba | ALP 21.4 | ALP 25.9 | Loses Sprinfield to the new seat of Jordan. |
| Burdekin | LNP 2.9 | ALP 1.4 | Wulguru and the outer suburbs of Townsville have been transferred to Mundingburra. Gains Moranbah from the abolished seat of Dalrymple, Clermont from Gregory and areas around Dysart from Mirani. These changes increase the mining vote in the district and overturn the LNP's majority. However, the Labor majority is created by the unusually strong preference flows to Labor at the 2015 election. The combined vote in the electorate for Katter's Australian Party, Palmer United and One Nation was 24% in 2015. |
| Burleigh | LNP 6.2 | LNP 5.5 | Minor boundary changes with neighbouring Currumbin and Mermaid Beach. |
| Burnett | LNP 6.8 | LNP 6.6 | Minor boundary changes with Bundaberg and Callide. |
| Cairns | ALP 8.5 | ALP 7.5 | Gains suburbs from Barron River in the north while shedding southern suburbs to Mulgrave. Note that sitting MP Rob Pyne is no longer a member of the Labor Party. |
| Callide | LNP 12.8 | LNP 9.8 | Shifts north and west, losing areas areas in the south to Nanango and gaining Chinchilla and surrounding areas from Warrego. Palmer United Party outpolled Labor in Callide in 2015, but its vote slips to 17.7% on the new boundaries. |
| Caloundra | LNP 3.8 | LNP 4.7 | Minor boundary changes only. |
| Capalaba | ALP 7.1 | ALP 6.5 | Minor boundary changes only. |
| Chatsworth | LNP 2.6 | LNP 3.3 | Minor boundary changes only. |
| Clayfield | LNP 7.2 | LNP 6.6 | Loses Nundah to Nudgee, stretches west to take in Windsor and Lutwyche from Brisbane Central and Stafford. |
| Cleveland | LNP 5.5 | .. | See Oodgeroo. |
| Condamine | LNP 16.3 | LNP 17.1 | Loses Dalby to Warrego. Gains areas north of the Warrego Highway near Oakey from Nanango. |
| Cook | ALP 6.8 | ALP 6.8 | Unchanged. Note that sitting MP Billy Gordon is no longer a member of the Labor Party. |
| Coomera | LNP 8.5 | LNP 5.8 | Loses Eagleby to new seat of Macalister. Loses areas around Helensvale to new seat of Theodore. Gains areas west of the Pacific Motorway from Albert. |
| Cooper | ALP 4.3 | ALP 3.3 | Replaces former seat of Ashgrove. Areas around Enoggera are transferred to Ferny Grove and Everton while Bardon, Milton and Paddington are moved into Cooper from the abolished seat of Mt Coot-tha.-tha.. |
| Currumbin | LNP 5.2 | LNP 5.7 | Minor boundary changes only. |
| Dalrymple | KAP 15.1 v LNP | .. | Seat abolished. Charters Towers is combined with Mount Isa in the new seat of Traeger, southern areas around Moranbah are moved into Burdekin, while the electorate's larger population centre in the Atherton Tablelands is joined with Innisfail as the new seat of Hill. |
| Everton | LNP 1.8 | LNP 2.0 | Minor boundary changes with neighbouring electorates. |
| Ferny Grove | ALP 0.8 | ALP 5.3 | Strengthened for Labor by gaining suburbs around Enoggera from Ashgrove and losing Samford and semi-rural areas in the west. |
| Gaven | LNP 2.2 | LNP 2.8 | Minor changes only. |
| Gladstone | ALP 25.1 | ALP 25.3 | Loses Calliope to Callide. |
| Glass House | LNP 1.4 | LNP 0.9 | There are changes to the boundaries with nearly all surrounding electorates, though with little impact on the electorate's political complexion. |
| Greenslopes | ALP 4.2 | ALP 5.0 | Loses parts of Mt Gravatt to Mansfield in the east, while gaining more of Coorparoo and Greenslopes from South Brisbane in the west. |
| Gregory | LNP 11.1 | LNP 10.9 | Loses Clermont to Burdekin, gains Bedourie, Birdsville and Winton from Mount Isa, loses Quilpie to Warrego. |
| Gympie | LNP 7.1 | LNP 8.2 | Minor boundary changes with Noosa, Nicklin, Maryborough and Callide. The combined vote for Palmer United Party, Katter's Australian Party and One Nation is 27%. |
| Hervey Bay | LNP 6.6 | LNP 6.5 | Minor changes to the boundary with Maryborough. |
| Hill | .. | KAP 4.9 v LIB | New seat formed from the Atherton Tableland parts of Dalrymple, combined with Innisfail and the southern parts of Mulgrave. |
| Hinchinbrook | LNP 7.1 | LNP 3.4 | Loses areas north of Tully to the new seat of Hill. Gains some northern suburbs of Townsville from Thuringowa. |
| Inala | ALP 25.1 | ALP 20.6 | Loses Darra to Mount Ommaney and areas south of the Logan Motorway to the new seat of Jordan. |
| Indooroopilly | LNP 6.7 | .. | See Maiwar, the new seat formed from parts of Indooroopilly north of the Brisbane River. Areas to the south are in the new seat of Miller. |
| Ipswich | ALP 15.9 | ALP 16.0 | Minor boundary changes only. |
| Ipswich West | ALP 7.7 | ALP 9.1 | Loses rural areas around Fernvale to Lockyer. |
| Jordan | .. | ALP 13.5 | New seat lying between Logan and Ipswich. Based on Springfield and formed from parts of Bundamba, Inala, Lockyer and Logan. |
| Kallangur | ALP 6.1 | .. | See Kurwongbah. |
| Kawana | LNP 10.1 | LNP 10.2 | Minor changes only. |
| Keppel | ALP 4.8 | ALP 4.1 | Minor changes only. |
| Kurwongbah | ALP 6.1 | ALP 7.1 | Largely replaces Kallangur but includes significant numbers of voters from Morayfield and Pine Rivers. |
| Lockyer | LNP 0.7 v ONP | LNP 1.8 v ONP | Lockyer previously had a panhandle that extended south of Ipswich as far east as Jimboomba. This has been transferred to Jordan and Scenic Rim, while Fernvale and more rural parts of Ipswich West are moved into Lockyer. At the 2015 election the LNP's Ian Rickuss held on to Lockyer with a margin of just 0.2% versus Pauline Hanson. The first preference votes were LNP 33.7%, Labor 25.2% and One Nation 26.7%. On the new boundaries those numbers are LNP 35.0%, Labor 25.5% and One Nation 25.9%. The One Nation figure drops because the lower profile One Nation candidate for Ipswich West did not poll as well as Pauline Hanson in Lockyer. |
| Logan | ALP 10.8 | ALP 5.9 | Weakened for Labor by losing urban parts of Logan City Council to Algester and Woodridge while gaining Jimboomba from Beaudesert. |
| Lytton | ALP 9.8 | ALP 9.9 | Very minor changes. |
| MacAlister | .. | ALP 6.4 | New seat based on Beenleigh and formed from parts of Albert, Coomera, Redlands, Springwood and Waterford. |
| Mackay | ALP 12.4 | ALP 10.2 | Gains the Mackay suburb of Glenella from Whitsunday. |
| Maiwar | LNP 6.7 | LNP 3.0 | New seat formed from southern parts of the abolished seat of Mt Coot-tha, and those parts of Indooroopilly north of the Brisbane River. The new LNP margin of 3.0% compares to 6.7% for Indooroopilly and a Labor margin of 2.6% for Mount Coot-tha. The first preference results based on the 2015 election are LNP 47.7%, Labor 29.1% and Greens 20.4%. |
| Mansfield | LNP 0.5 | ALP 0.8 | A very marginal LNP at the 2015 election, Mansfield becomes a notional Labor seat after gaining Labor voting territory around Mount Gravatt from Greenslopes. |
| Maroochydore | LNP 9.3 | LNP 10.3 | Loses Coolum in the north to the new seat of Ninderry. |
| Maryborough | ALP 1.7 | ALP 1.1 | Minor changes, losing some southern areas to Gympie while the seat's northern boundary bites further into Hervey Bay, |
| McConnel | ALP 3.3 | ALP 3.1 | New name for Brisbane Central. Only minor changes to boundaries with neighbouring electorates. |
| Mermaid Beach | LNP 12.9 | LNP 10.3 | Minor boundary changes. |
| Miller | ALP 13.3 | ALP 5.6 | New name for Yeerongpilly, though boundary changes significantly weaken the Labor margin. Loses Moorooka and Salisbury to Toohey while gaining the areas south of the Brisbane River that were previously in Indooroopilly, including Tennyson, Sherwood, Chelmer and Graceville. |
| Mirani | ALP 4.8 | ALP 3.8 | Loses a Labor voting area including Coppabella, Dysart, Glenden, Middlemount and Nebo to Burdekin. |
| Moggill | LNP 8.2 | LNP 8.1 | Minor changes only. |
| Morayfield | ALP 11.9 | ALP 13.5 | Shifts north, gaining most of Caboolture from Pumicestone while losing areas in the south to Kurwongbah. |
| Mount Coot-tha | ALP 2.6 | .. | Abolished and divided between Cooper and Maiwar. |
| Mount Isa | KAP 15.2 v LNP | .. | See Traeger. |
| Mount Ommaney | LNP 0.2 | ALP 1.0 | The LNP's most marghinal seat after the 2015 election, Mount Ommaney gains Labor voting Darra from Inala, enough to make Mount Ommaney a marginal Labor seat. |
| Mudgeeraba | LNP 11.0 | LNP 10.4 | Minor changes only. |
| Mulgrave | ALP 12.8 | ALP 12.9 | Moves further into the southern suburbs of Cairns. Loses Innisfail and the former seat's southern rural areas to the new seat of Hill. |
| Mundingburra | ALP 2.8 | ALP 1.8 | Loses Heatley to Thuringowa, gains Wulguru and Oonoonba from Burdekin. |
| Murrumba | ALP 7.4 | ALP 6.3 | Radically re-arranged. Previously well over-quota, the northern end of the old seat including Deception Bay, Mango Hill and North Lakes has been formed into the new seat of Bancroft. What remains of Murrumba now extends further west of the Bruce Highway to include Murrumba Downs, Kallangur and Dakabin. |
| Nanango | LNP 13.2 | LNP 13.3 | Loses areas south to the Warrego Highway to Condamine while extnding north by taking in parts of Callide. |
| Nicklin | IND 14..9 v LNP | Ind held | Lots of boundary changes with neighbouring electorates. An independent margin on the new boundaries is very difficult to calculate. The estimated LNP 2-party preferred margin increases from 2.9% to 3.7%. |
| Ninderry | .. | LNP 6.9 | New seat in the northern Sunshine Coast between Maroochydore and Noosa. Takes in Coolum from Maroochydore, Bli Bli from Buderim, Peregian Springs from Noosa and remnant rural areas east of the Bruce Highway from Nicklin. |
| Noosa | LNP 8.8 | LNP 6.8 | Minor changes with surrounding electorates. The Greens have finished second to the LNP in Noosa at the last two elections. The estimated first preference votes on the new boundaries are LNP 47.1%, Labor 20.9% and the Greens 21.6%. |
| Nudgee | ALP 11.2 | ALP 9.2 | Gains Nundah from Clayfield, loses parts of Geebung and Zillmere to Aspley. |
| Oodgeroo | LNP 5.5 | LNP 5.7 | New name for Cleveland. Loses parts of Thornlands to Redlands. |
| Pine Rivers | ALP 7.7 | ALP 4.1 | Loses urban areas in the east ot Kurwongbah, gains Samford and semi-rural areas from Ferny Grove. |
| Pumicestone | ALP 2.1 | LNP 0.1 | Loses the solidly Labor parts of urban Caboolture to Morayfield, which overturns Labor's majority in the seat and makes Pumicestone a notional but very marginal LNP seat.. |
| Redcliffe | ALP 7.6 | ALP 7.6 | Unchanged. |
| Redlands | LNP 2.2 | LNP 1.2 | Gains parts of Thornlands from Cleveland, loses Carbrook and Cornubia to Macalister and loses Mount Cotton to Springwood. |
| Rockhampton | ALP 13.9 | ALP 14.0 | Minor changes only. |
| Sandgate | ALP 10.1 | ALP 10.1 | Minor changes only. |
| Scenic Rim | LNP 7.5 | LNP 9.2 | New name for Beaudesert. Loses Jimboomba to Logan. |
| South Brisbane | ALP 13.8 | ALP 13.8 | Minor changes only. |
| Southern Downs | LNP 19.2 | LNP 19.2 | Unchanged. |
| Southport | LNP 3.2 | LNP 7.8 | The creation of the new seat of Boney between Southport and Broadwater has pushed Southport into parts of the former seat of Surfers Paradise, increasing the LNP margin significantly. |
| Springwood | ALP 1.7 | ALP 1.4 | The major change is gaining Mount Cotton from Redlands while parts of Cornubia have been moved into the new seat of Macalister. |
| Stafford | ALP 9.6 | ALP 9.3 | Minor changes only, |
| Stretton | ALP 5.0 | ALP 5.3 | Minor changes only. |
| Sunnybank | ALP 7.2 | .. | See Toohey. |
| Surfers Paradise | LNP 19.2 | LNP 20.4 | Minor changes only. |
| Theodore | .. | LNP 5.3 | New seat formed at the northern end of the Gold Coast. |
| Thuringowa | ALP 5.5 | ALP 6.6 | Minor changes only. |
| Toohey | ALP 7.2 | ALP 8.3 | New name for Sunnybank reflecting boundary changes. Gains Moorooka and Salisbury from Yeerongpilly, loses Acacia Ridge to Algester. |
| Toowoomba North | LNP 1.6 | LNP 1.6 | Unchanged. |
| Toowoomba South | LNP 8.9 | LNP 8.4 | Unchanged. |
| Townsville | ALP 5.7 | ALP 5.7 | Unchanged |
| Traeger | KAP 15.2 v LNP | KAP 16.1 v LNP | New name for the former seat of Mount Isa. Loses Birdsville, Bedourie and Winton to Gregory. Gains Charters Towers from the abolished seat of Dalrymple. |
| Warrego | LNP 15.4 | LNP 14.5 | Gains Quilpie from Gregory. Loses areas around Chinchilla to Callide. |
| Waterford | ALP 13.3 | ALP 13.1 | Pushed northward with the creation of the new seat of Macalister. |
| Whitsunday | LNP 0.4 | LNP 0.6 | Loses the Mackay suburb of Glenella to the electorate of Mackay. |
| Woodridge | ALP 25.9 | ALP 25.8 | Gains areas towards Regents Park from Logan. |
| Yeerongpilly | ALP 13.3 | .. | See Miller. |
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