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A close up of a man's face

composite Dutton Poilievre

"There was a sense after Trump's election that he was at the head of a disruptive right-wing wave, and that this was great for the right everywhere. It hasn't turned out that way."

A graph showing poll results

A graph of polls

A photo of Clayton Chin.

"Pierre Poilievre suddenly had to try and pivot. He didn't do it fast enough."

ABC election expert Antony Green smiles at the camera with his hands clasped behind his back.

"But since Donald Trump has been in power, populism seems to have become less attractive than it was."

"I know it's uncomfortable for people to hear that said out loud, but … the numbers are the numbers, and saying that you don't believe in polls, if you're managing a campaign, it's delusional."

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