| Electorate | Members Elected by Party- 2018 Tasmanian Election | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bass | Gutwein | Ferguson | Courtney | Houston | M.O'Byrne |
| Braddon | Rockliff | Brooks | Jaensch | Broad | Dow |
| Clark | Archer | Hickey | O'Connor | Haddad | S.Bacon |
| Franklin | W.Hodgman | Petrusma | Woodruff | Standen | D.O'Byrne |
| Lyons | Barnett | Shelton | Hidding | Butler | White |
- - Can the Liberal Party hold its current seats?
- - Can the Liberal Party gain seats to increase its majority or offset possibly losing a seat in Clark?
- - Can Labor gain three seats for majority government? This looks the least likely scenario.
- - If the election result answers questions (1) to (3) with a 'no', then what is the composition of the cross bench and which of the major parties has more seats?
- - With three Liberal seats looking certain, could the party push to win a fourth seat? Can Labor fight off Liberal and Green attempts to take the party's second seat?
- - Can the Liberal Party increase its vote and repeat the four seat result from 2014? Is former Federal Labor member Justine Keay a threat to the sitting Labor members?
- - The election's most interesting contest with two high profile Independents in Sue Hickey and Kristie Johnston, Labor missing Scott Bacon's high personal vote, and former Labor MHA Madeleine Ogilvie now standing as a Liberal candidate.
- - Can the Liberal Party win a third seat after narrowly losing out to the Greens in 2018? But can the Liberal Party do it without Will Hodgman on the ballot paper? Does the late addition of Dean Winter to the Labor ticket change the contest?
- - In what looks to be the election's most straightforward contest, will all sitting members be re-elected?
Party (Candidates) |
Votes |
% Votes |
Swing |
Seats Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Party (25) | 168,303 | 50.26 | -0.96 | 13 |
| Labor Party (26) | 109,264 | 32.63 | +5.30 | 10 |
| The Greens (25) | 34,491 | 10.30 | -3.53 | 2 |
| Jacqui Lambie Network (12) | 10,579 | 3.16 | +3.16 | .. |
| Shooters, Fishers and Farmers (11) | 7,640 | 2.28 | +2.28 | .. |
| Tasmanians 4 Tasmania (4) | 985 | 0.29 | +0.29 | .. |
| Ungrouped (6) | 3,609 | 1.08 | +0.29 | .. |
| Palmer United Party (-) | .. | .. | -4.97 | .. |
| Others (-) | .. | .. | -1.37 | .. |
| Formal (109) | 334,871 | 25 | ||
| Informal | 17,309 | 4.91 | +0.12 | |
| Total Votes / Turnout | 352,180 | 92.39 | -1.10 | |
| Enrolment | 381,183 |
- Bass - (Green) was defeated by (Labor)
- Braddon - after winning an unexpected fourth seat for the Liberals in 2014, (Liberal) was defeated by (Labor)
- Franklin - (Liberal) was defeated by (Labor)
- Denison - (Liberal) retired and was succeeded by (Liberal)
- Denison - (Labor) was defeated by party colleague (Labor). (See notes on changes of membership below.)
- Franklin - former Premier (Labor) retired and was succeeded by former MHA (Labor)
- Braddon (Feb 2019) - (Liberal) resigned to be replaced by (Liberal).
- Lyons (Mar 2019) - (Liberal) resigned and was replaced by (Liberal).
- Clark (Sep 2019) - (Labor) resigned and was replaced by . She had left the Labor Party since the 2018 election and took her seat as an Independent. Ogilvie will be a Liberal Party candidate in 2021.
- Franklin (Feb 2020) - (Liberal) resigned to be replaced by (Liberal).
- Braddon (Aug 2020) - (Liberal) resigned to be replaced by (Liberal).
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