- There are 56,127 electors enrolled to vote at the by-election. In NSW, voters who are not enrolled are permitted to enrol and cast a declaration vote on polling day.
- The NSW Electoral Commission has dispatched 3,073 postal vote packs representing 5.5% of enrolled voters. So far 1,611 returned postal votes have been processed.
- A total of 19,310 pre-poll votes have been cast at the electorate's seven early voting centres representing 34.4% of enrolment.
- There have been 2,166 applications for iVotes representing 3.9% of voters. Of these applications, 1,922 iVotes have been completed.
- iVotes and some early voting centres will be counted on Saturday night. Other early voting centres will be counted on Sunday and the first postal count will take place on Monday.
| First Preferences | Two-Party Preferred | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Councils (% of votes) | NAT | ALP | SFF | OTH | NAT | ALP | Exh |
| Singleton/Muswellbrook (44.0) | 30.7 | 35.1 | 20.8 | 13.4 | 46.5 | 53.5 | 22.0 |
| Dungog/Gloucester (19.5) | 38.1 | 27.5 | 14.8 | 19.6 | 55.1 | 44.9 | 21.7 |
| Liverpool Plains/Upper Hunter (21.0) | 39.3 | 19.2 | 31.8 | 9.7 | 63.5 | 36.5 | 28.1 |
| Postal/iVote/Declaration (8.3) | 35.6 | 24.2 | 21.0 | 19.3 | 56.1 | 43.9 | 22.2 |
| Absent (7.3) | 25.5 | 25.1 | 21.8 | 27.5 | 48.8 | 51.2 | 35.0 |
| Year | Winning Party |
|---|---|
| 1950 | CP |
| 1953 | CP |
| 1956 | CP |
| 1959 | CP |
| 1962 | CP |
| 1965 | CP |
| 1968 | CP |
| 1970By | CP |
| 1971 | CP |
| 1973 | CP |
| 1976 | CP |
| 1978 | CP |
| 1981 | NAT |
| 1984 | NAT |
| 1988 | NAT |
| 1991 | NAT |
| 1995 | NAT |
| 1999 | NAT |
| 2003 | NAT |
| 2007 | NAT |
| 2011 | NAT |
| 2015 | NAT |
| 2019 | NAT |
| Candidate Name | Party |
|---|---|
| O'CONNELL, Kirsty | Independent |
| LEA, Archie | Independent |
| PEARS, Eva | Liberal Democratic Party |
| McNAMARA, Dale | Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
| LAYZELL, David | The Nationals |
| NORMAN, Tracy | Independent |
| REYNOLDS, Steven | Independent |
| ABBOTT, Sue | The Greens |
| DRAYTON, Jeff | Labor |
| BLAIR, Calum | Sustainable Australia |
| DELLO-IACOVO, Michael | Animal Justice Party |
| GILROY, Sue | Shooters, Fishers and Farmers |
| FRASER, Kate | Independent |
- The National Party, Animal Justice and Independents Archie Lea and Steven Reynolds have registered one-only how-to-votes with no further preference recommendations.
- The Shooters Fishers and Farmers, One Nation and Liberal Democrats are recommending preferences for each other, with the Shooters Fishers and Farmers going beyond the three parties to recommend a preference for Labor ahead of the Nationals.
- Independents Kirsty O'Connell and Tracy Norman have recommended second preferences for each other. Norman goes on to recommend preferences for Labor and then the Shooters Fishers and Farmers.
- The Greens recommend preferences for Independents Tracy Norman then Kirsty O'Connell before Labor.
- Labor recommends preferences for Independents Tracy Norman, Kirsty O'Connell then the Shooters Fishers and Farmers.
- Sustainable Australia and Independent Kate Fraser did not register how-to-vote material.
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