Labor retain
- Count complete.
- Previously held by ALP with margin of 6.3%.
- Jodie Belyea succeeds former Labor MP Peta Murphy.
- Vote:41.1%37,418Swing: +0.8%
- Vote:39.2%35,746Swing: +6.7%
- Vote:6.4%5,798Swing: -4.0%
- Vote:4.7%4,315Swing: +0.9%
- Vote:3.1%2,818Swing: +1.0%
- Vote:2.5%2,246Swing: 0.0%
- Vote:1.7%1,529Swing: +1.7%
- Vote:1.3%1,242Swing: +1.4%
- Vote:0.0%0Swing: -8.5%
3,930
95,042
| Year | Winning Party |
|---|---|
| 1984 | ALP |
| 1987 | ALP |
| 1990 | LIB |
| 1993 | ALP |
| 1996 | LIB |
| 1998 | LIB |
| 2001 | LIB |
| 2004 | LIB |
| 2007 | LIB |
| 2010 | LIB |
| 2013 | LIB |
| 2016 | LIB |
| 2019 | ALP |
| 2022 | ALP |
- Animal Justice - to Labor at preference 2, Liberal preference 6. The original recommendation was Liberal 6, Labor 7, the Animal Justice Party upset at the state Labor government's refusal to ban duck shooting. The how-to-vote recommendation was changed to list Labor first before the start of pre-poll voting on 19 February.
- Libertarian - to Liberal 2 then Labor 3
- Victorian Socialists - Labor 4, Liberal 6
- Bergwerf (IND) - Liberal 6, Labor 8
- Greens - Labor 5, Liberal 6
- Australian Democrats - split ticket, voter choice of Labor 4/Liberal 5 or Liberal 4/Labor 5.
| Candidate Name | Party |
|---|---|
| CONROY, Nathan | Liberal Party |
| CURRIE, Bronwyn | Animal Justice Party |
| ABRAHAM, Chrysten | Libertarian |
| YUNIS, Reem | Victorian Socialists |
| BERGWERF, Darren | Independent |
| BRESKIN, Alex | Australian Greens |
| McKENZIE, Heath | Australian Democrats |
| BELYEA, Jodie | Australian Labor Party |
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Bergwerf | IND | 3,698 | 3.9 | +3.9 |
| Peta Murphy | ALP | 38,506 | 40.2 | +1.7 |
| Damian Willis | LDP | 2,398 | 2.5 | +2.5 |
| Elizabeth Johnston | AJP | 2,013 | 2.1 | -1.0 |
| Liam O'Brien | GRN | 9,898 | 10.3 | +1.9 |
| Sharn Coombes | LIB | 31,108 | 32.5 | -7.4 |
| Scott Middlebrook | ONP | 2,689 | 2.8 | +2.8 |
| Kathryn Woods | FED | 566 | 0.6 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Irvine | UAP | 4,846 | 5.1 | +2.5 |
| ... | OTH | 0.0 | -7.6 | |
| Peta Murphy | ALP | 53,865 | 56.3 | +3.5 |
| Sharn Coombes | LIB | 41,857 | 43.7 | -3.5 |
- 26 March - final result margin added.
- 19 February - links to candidate how-to-votes added along with commentary on preference recommendation.
- 9 February - Full candidate nominations added and listings changed to ballot paper order. Comment added on the government's changes to stage three tax cuts and on the potential impact of the donkey vote from the ballot draw.
- January and early February - candidates added as announced.
- 16 January - background on by-election swing added.
- December 2023 - First published.
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